Exit polls for the 2025 Delhi assembly elections on Wednesday predicted that the BJP will likely pull off a major upset and secure a majority in the legislative assembly. Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will likely not get another term, predicted pollsters.
The majority mark in the 70-seat Delhi assembly is 36 seats.
The results of the elections will be declared on February 8.
Delhi exit poll results 2025: What the pollsters said
- As per pollster Matrize, BJP may get 35-40 seats while the AAP may get 32-37 seats and Congress 0-1 seats.
- Peoples Pulse has predicted that the BJP will get 51-60 seats, AAP 10-19, and Congress 0 seats.
- People’s Insight has said that the BJP will get 40-44 seats, AAP 25-29 seat and Congress 0-1 seats.
- Pollster P-Marq has predicted that the BJP will get 39-49 seats, AAP 21-31, and Congress 0-1 seats.
- JVC has said that the BJP will secure 39-45 seats, AAP 22-31 seats and Congress 0-2 seats.
- Chanakya Strategies said the BJP is likely to get 39-44 seats, AAP 25-28 seats and Congress 2-3 seats.
- Poll Diary has given BJP 42-50 seats, AAP 18-25 and Congress 0-2 seats.
- WeePreside was the odd man out, and has given AAP 46-52 seats, BJP 18-23 and Congress 0-1 seats.
- DV Research has predicted a close fight, giving BJP 36-44 seats, AAP 26-34, and Congress 0 seats.
By 5pm, voter turnout was reported at 57.8% across Delhi’s 70 constituencies, with expectations that the final turnout could be higher than the current figures, although it is anticipated to be lower than the 63% recorded in the previous assembly elections in 2020.
High-profile campaigning by leaders from all major parties aimed to energise voters and encourage participation.
The BJP organised numerous rallies and roadshows featuring prominent leaders, while AAP focused on its record of governance to appeal to its base.
The Election Commission of India reported that polling took place across 13,766 stations, with nearly 699 candidates contesting for the assembly seats.
The turnout is crucial as it can influence the final results; higher engagement often favors incumbent parties, while lower turnout can benefit opposition parties looking to capitalize on dissatisfaction.
Since the emergence of AAP in 2013, exit polls have often struggled to accurately predict its performance.
In past elections, pollsters underestimated AAP’s strength significantly.
For instance, in the 2020 elections, exit polls projected AAP to win around 54 seats, while it ultimately secured 62. Similarly, in 2015, predictions underestimated AAP’s landslide victory when it won 67 out of 70 seats.
The exit poll results for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections suggest a potentially transformative moment for Delhi’s political landscape. If the BJP’s predictions hold true, it would signify not only a return to power but also an end to AAP’s dominance in the capital after a decade-long tenure.
As counting day approaches on February 8, all eyes will be on how accurately these exit polls predict actual outcomes and what this means for future electoral contests.
Several factors may have contributed to the predicted outcomes reflected in the exit polls:
- BJP’s organizational strength: The BJP has built a formidable grassroots network that enabled effective voter outreach and mobilization. The party’s extensive organisational machinery played a crucial role in ensuring high turnout and loyalty among supporters.
- Welfare schemes: The BJP has focused on implementing welfare initiatives that appeal to various demographics, especially women and lower-income groups. Promises of financial assistance and subsidies have been strategically highlighted to attract voters who prioritise economic support.
- Caste dynamics: The BJP has effectively consolidated votes among various caste groups, particularly Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Dalits, which can significantly influence election outcomes in Delhi’s diverse electorate.
- Voter fatigue with AAP: After two consecutive terms, there may be signs of voter fatigue with AAP’s governance. Criticisms regarding unfulfilled promises and governance challenges could lead some voters to seek change.
- Corruption allegations: Allegations of corruption against AAP leaders have surfaced frequently in recent months, potentially swaying undecided voters towards the BJP as they position themselves as a cleaner alternative.
Check out the latest news about Delhi Elections 2025, including key constituencies such as Kalkaji, Karol Bagh, Tilak Nagar, New Delhi, Laxmi Nagar, Badarpur, Ghonda, Krishna Nagar, Model Town, Rithala, Trilokpuri, Najafgarh, and Matia Mahal.
